As we continue our series on common Thinking Errors, this episode considers the way that sometimes we jump to conclusions with minimal evidence and no facts.
Ricky and Paul explore the different ways we see this playing out, taking examples from sport where commentators take stats from 20 years ago to tell us who is going to win, without anyone pointing out that there are very few sportspeople who were playing 20 years ago playing today, so it is not the same team!
If you are prone to making leaps in your logic, jumping to conclusions that don’t help you or move you forward, ask yourself when you do have a conclusion;
- Where is the Evidence?
- What Alternative explanations might there be?
- What are the Implications of this?
- How Useful is this line of thinking?
These four vowels (E A I U) prevent you from getting to Ohh, I got that wrong.